Truth is never static, and what was wise
last year may be folly now. That sounds like the basis of a resolution of sorts,
which may be appropriate for the season. In this specific instance, the truth
concerns both April Fool and Willie
Twiston Davies, who team up in the 15:20 at Lingfield today. The former hasn’t
been a betting proposition for a while, often showing his usual bright speed,
but not seeing his races out. That may be about to change shortly, as Ron Harris’
gelding is never one to dwell in the doldrums for long, and has been cut plenty
of slack by the handicapper. This time last year, he bounced back from a series
of lesser efforts to win with something to spare at Kempton, and he landed
another couple of races before the end of April. He’s dropped to a mark just 2
lb higher than his lowest winning mark of last season, and looks sure to get
his own way in front again today. The latter made a less-than-smooth transition
to the role of Flat apprentice around the time of his mount’s last win, and has
been the subject of poor reviews from myself and others through the summer. One
thing I’ve always maintained is that the plethora of rides Willie’s been given
would ensure a steep learning curve, and the penny has begun to drop in the
last few weeks, with the teenager looking much more polished, and clearly
growing in confidence. He’s certainly not one to lay blind any more, and is
likely to play a prominent role in the apprentice championship in 2013 if
continuing in the same vein. Hopefully he can prove the point by making all,
and making fools out of the knockers. Al’s memory should slot into second place
from flagfall, and looks the main danger.
Harris has claims of a double in the
last, when Lady Mango drops in class
after losing her form in the latter half of 2012. She’s a reliable performer on
her day, and while the resurgent Bussa will be very hard to beat, there isn’t
much else in this contest, and she’s undeniably well treated on the pick of her
form. A 4-time winner last year, she’s fully effective over C&D, and is 3
lb lower than for her latest win. She’ll bounce back sooner rather than later, and
is worth chancing at double-figure odds.
Recommended Bets:
Back April Fool in the 15:20 Lingfield @ [8.2] (NAP)
Back Lady Mango in the 15:50 Lingfield
@ [10.5] (NB)
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