No turf racing again today, but the
Lingfield polytrack card has a couple of above-average handicaps to relieve the
boredom and it’s those contests which provide the best bets.
In the 13:50, a confident vote is
given to Woolfall Sovereign who has
never been better, and was impressive when landing a strongly-run event at
Wolverhampton on New Year’s Day from Dorback, with one of today’s main rivals,
Moorhouse Lad back in third. The way that contest was run undoubtedly suited
George Margarson’s runner, but today’s contest looks like a carbon copy, with
Moorhouse Lad again guaranteed to go hard from the outset, and Fratellino
another who shows his best form when dominating. It’s hard to imagine either of
that pair getting an easy lead, and the resulting pace duel should allow the
thriving Woolfall Sovereign to settle
in behind before swooping past tiring rivals in the dying strides. Of the
others, Bajan Tryst is capable, but proving increasingly hard to catch right,
while Swiss Cross is just in the grip of the handicapper if recent runs are a
guide. With the bottom pair out of the weights, and Even Stevens a fibresand
specialist whose only role will be to help harry the early leaders, it’s
impossible to get away from the current favourite. Value hunters might like to
include the other hold-up horses in exotics, but a straight win bet on Woolfall Sovereign looks the obvious
play.
In the previous contest at 13:20, Harry Buckle is suggested as the bet,
having been a winning selection in a similar contest last time. His maiden win,
as mentioned at the time, is very solid, and he wasn’t hard pressed to follow
up in a 1¼m handicap here last time. Cayuga was a non-runner there and still
looks the chief threat with his unexposed profile, but I’m in no mood to desert
Harry Buckle, for whom the return to
1½m is no problem, and who is proving quietly progressive after taking a while
to find his level. His pressing run style should be effective given the likely
pace scenario here, with Activate the most likely to take the field along.
Should there be no early pace, then the selection will be best placed to go on
given he’s been ridden close up on all his recent starts.
Recommended Bets:
Back Woolfall Sovereign in the 13:50
Lingfield @ [2.46] (NAP)
Back Harry Buckle in the 15:30 Lingfield @ [3.7] (NB)
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