It was Ray Davies who wrote those
lyrics, but hopefully there will be no Kinks on show when July Days jumps out of the stalls for the 15:40 at Wolverhampton
this afternoon. Brian Baugh’s mare hasn’t been seen since running poorly over
C&D in September, but she put up a career-best effort to score here almost
a year ago when returning from a similar lay-off, and looks set to be handed an
easy lead in a race full of hold-up runners. She took another C&D handicap
on her penultimate start, and is clearly ideally suited by conditions. The
Baugh yard is in fair form for a relatively small operation, with 4 of 9
runners in the last fortnight either winning or making the frame. It’s hard to
be adamant that she’s strictly ahead of her mark, but she should be
competitive, and the combination of a proven ability to run to form after a
break and a race which will suit tactically makes her an appealing bet at
double-figure odds.
In the final race at Kempton (16:50),
it’s worth sticking with recent course winner Compton Rainbow, who belied
a reputation as a weak finisher when storming clear under Ryan Tate over 1m
here last time. He made all there in a good time, and while the luxury of an
easy lead will be denied him due to the presence of Demoiselle Bond, that mare
comes here under a cloud and with stamina to prove, so Tate should be able to
track the early pace before taking over in the straight. Main danger
Fairyinthewind travels well held up, but has has been outbattled more than once
after trading short, and Compton Rainbow
can get the better of her as long as he’s not forced into going too fast in the
early stages.
Recommended
Bets:
Back July Days in the 15:40 Wolverhampton @ [12.5] (NAP)
Back Compton Rainbow in the 16:50 Kempton
@ [5.2] (NB)
No comments:
Post a Comment