Thursday, 17 January 2013

To Definity And Beyond!


Thankfully, racing at Wincanton has been given the green light, and there are some competitive races on the card at the underrated Somerset venue. Pick of the action is arguably the HIS Platinum Handicap Chase at 14:20, in which the lightly-raced Definity makes plenty of appeal. A son of Irish Grand National winner Ebony Jane, the 10-y-o is a fragile sort, and is making just the eighth start of his career today, and the first since a creditable fifth in the Centenary Novices’ Handicap at the Cheltenham Festival in 2011. On that occasion, he was outpaced over a shorter trip before staying on strongly up the hill. A course winner on his debut, he will be suited by the testing conditions and likely strong pace of this contest. The handicapper, as is his wont, has dropped Definity purely due to absence, and he is potentially a class above today’s opposition. The obvious concern is fitness, but horses with his profile are naturally limited to the number of times they can be risked, and Paul Nicholls is sure to have him 100% for this return.  Dangers on recent form are Ballyalia Man and Fine Parchment, but the latter is readily dismissed given how he threw certain victory away at Taunton last time, and he won’t be able to dictate as he did there. Ballyalia Man also tends to lead and competition for front-running duties may compromise his chances (Moleskin is another regular pace-setter), but he would be of serious interest otherwise, as he’s had his stamina stretched over further here on his last 2 starts, and is better than the bare form of those runs. A drop to 21f looks ideal for this sound jumper, and he looks much the biggest threat to the selection.

In the Somerset National at 14:50, there is rather less pace, and many of the runners (as is typical with staying chasers at this level) tend to race lazily, notably Miko de Beauchene, Upham Atom and Pettifour. The pair likely to dominate in the early stages are Richard’s Sundance and Doubletoilntrouble. The latter was unsuited by being held up last time, but is normally ridden forwardly, and promises to improve now given a real test of stamina for the first time in his career. His pedigree and exploits over hurdles for Keith Goldsworthy marked him down as an ideal sort for marathon chases, and he’s improved since being moved by owners Peter and Lisa Hall to the yard of Fergal O’Brien, winning in first-time cheekpieces at Hereford before a second place at that venue last time. He’s out of the weights, but that’s only a minor concern, and the claim of Conor Shoemark means he only has a featherweight to carry, a major plus in races over extreme distance. He can cause a minor shock.  

Recommended Bets:

Back Definity  in the 14:20 Wincanton @ [4.70] (NAP)

Back Doubletoilntrouble in the 14:50 Wincanton @ [15.5] (NB)


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