Sunday, 10 February 2013

Clouds Can Provide Silver Lining


Heavy rain has put today’s sole jumps meeting in jeopardy, but every cloud has a silver lining they say, and with Exeter passing its second inspection at 10AM, the way is paved for Oliver Sherwood to have a profitable time of things. Star of the stable is the handsome Puffin Billy, who ought to get the better of what looks a straight march with Tolworth Hurdle winner Melodic Rendezvous, although that is a tight race to call strictly on the figures, and Puffin Billy makes scant betting appeal at 4/6. Rouge Et Blanc is another from the yard to come here at the top of his game, and will take the beating if over the exertions which saw him score at Huntingdon in mid-week, but the best bet is Many Clouds, who lines up in the opening novice hurdle at 14:00. Of 3 last-time-out winners, Just A Par is respected most, but the selection achieved more when finishing a good second under a penalty at Wetherby last time, and would have finished much closer but for conceding a big lead to eventual winner Up And Go. At level weights with his main rivals today, and with waiting tactics likely to prove no stumbling block at this stiff track, Many Clouds can get back to winning ways.

Kim Bailey has never made any bones about the regard in which he’s held Harry Topper (15:00), and the son of Sir Harry Lewis is a short price to win a competitive graduation chase today. It’s worth looking at the prices he’s traded in running when winning, though, and highs of 100 and 1,000 show that it’s his tenacity which has won him races rather than sheer class. His best effort over hurdles also saw him stay on from an impossible position, and he’s recommended as a pre-race lay at odds of 2.2. Those taking the chance on laying him may want to back him back at bigger odds in running to guarantee a profit (he’s yet to run in a race where he hasn’t hit significantly bigger in the run), but there is enough opposition in today’s field for a straight lay to be justified.

Recommended Bets:

Back Many Clouds in the 14:00 Exeter @ [3.2]  (NAP)

Lay Harry Topper in the 15:00 Exeter @ [2.20] (NB)




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