All's Fair In This Speed War

3.40 Wincanton - Come Racing Novices Handicap Hurdle

The most pertinent point in examining this novices' handicap is the sheer amount of pace in the contest, with all but one of the runners having made the running in recent starts. On top of that, a couple of those pacesetters are of the eyeballs-out type, and both Risk A Bet and Ar Mad can take a strong hold, notably the first named, who is undoubtedly classy, but has looked something of a headcase to date. Philip Hobbs' runner improved to win at Exeter two starts back, but was untroubled on the front end, which allowed Richard Johnson to get him settled after a couple of flights. That isn't going to happen with Revaader in opposition, and those two are likely to compromise each other if duelling in front.

Ar Mad looks to have some talent, too, and it's possible that he will settle better behind a fast pace, but he's not sure to be helped by a hood, and could easily get lit up by the antics of the other pair. With Alto des Mottes looking slightly wayward last time, and plenty short enough in the market based on what he's shown, the value looks to lie in sole hold-up performer Spice Fair, who looks sure to get the race run to suit. Best when finessed on the Flat at staying trips, he is also likely to benefit from the assistance of the stylish Wayne Hutchison. He's shown enough over hurdles to suggest that he'll win races in this sphere, and an end-to-end gallop at this venue should bring his undoubted stamina into play.

Recommended:

1.5pts win Spice Fair @ 4/1 (general)