Tuesday 17 September 2013

Carr Can Klynch Another Thirsk Win

Pick of the Flat cards on Tuesday is a competitive programme at Thirsk, where winners may not be easy to come by, but prices are likely to be juicy as a result.

I'm something of a devotee of the Huby yard of Ruth Carr, and the granddaughter of David Chapman has carried on the family tradition in fine style. She has a pair of interesting candidates in the 7f handicap at 15:40, with Al Muheer and Klynch both fully effective under prevailing conditions, and capable of outrunning morning odds.

Al Muheer is well drawn, and has dropped to a mark 2 lb lower than when beaten in a three-way photo at York in July, but it's somewhat surprising that he races without his usual blinkers (all six handicap wins have come with the headgear on), and it's the yard's apparent second string Klynch who makes most appeal at the odds. A winner of back-to-back handicaps in May, the latter at this track, he's struggled since, but the handicapper has taken a chance in dropping him to a 1 lb lower mark that for the first of those wins. He proved he was effective at this trip with a win at Epsom last summer, and looks thrown in if refinding that sort of form.

Recent efforts from Klynch have been uninspiring, but he went off much too hard after a short break last time, and can be expected to do better now, so long as Jimmy Sullivan doesn't overdo the forcing tactics again, which is admittedly a concern with fellow front runner Snow Bay drawn inside him. Such concerns are allayed by a morning price which is hovering around 25/1, and with plenty of meat expected in the Betfair place odds, he's taken to reward each-way support.

Another at Thirsk who looks overpriced on the back of an admittedly poor run is Mister Marcasite in the 15:10. Mel Brittain's charge was a winner at Nottingham on his penultimate outing, and had been off for 12 weeks prior to a rare poor run over C&D last time, weakening as if fitness was an issue. If that run is forgiven, this easy-ground specialist is much too big in the betting at 16/1 and upwards. Drawn well for one who races prominently, he may not have quite the same form chance as topweight Nurpur, but his odds more than compensate for that, and he's worth chancing to return to form under suitable conditions.

Recommendations:

Both at Thirsk

Back Klynch @ [27.0] & [7.0] win and place in the 15:40 (NAP)

Back Mister Marcasite @ [17.0] in the 15:10 (NB)

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