The focus on Sunday will be on the high-profile Fairyhouse card which features a clutch of Grade 1 contests, but there is still some interest in UK cards at Carlisle and Leicester, and it's at the former that the best punting opportunities seem to lie.
Nicky Richards' Eduard will be a warm order in the novice chase at 12:50, and many believe he would have beaten Pendra but for sprwaling on landing at the second last here on his chasing debut. The truth of the matter was that the race was just beginning to take shape at the point where Eduard's mistake happened, and with neither of the big two asked for maximum effort, the result was very much in the balance. One aspect of that contest which has been forgotten is how well the outsider Jet Master was travelling when making his only mistake of the race and unseating at the third last, and that one has since been beaten in a handicap, albeit running well. In addition, the fast-finishing third that day was soundly beaten at Bangor yesterday. It's clear that the favourite is a decent prospect, but it would be presumptuous to elevate him to the top tier of novices on such flimsy evidence.
Eduard's novice hurdle form last year marked him down as one to keep on side as a chaser, with a third to Melodic Rendezvous at Cheltenham the highlight, but he was beaten by Mwaleshi when the pair met in a Grade 2 novice at Kelso in March, and Sue Smith's charge has not really been given the recognition he deserves for that win. He was conceding weight to Eduard that day, and may again get the jump on his market rival today, particularly as Yesyoucan, the other with form claims, will surely find this two-mile trip on the sharp side. It's possible he could act as a spoiler if adopting the same tactics as he did when winning at Newcastle last time, but hopefully Mwaleshi will be allowed to set his own pace up front, and if so, then there's no reason why he won't run a huge race. He's a very fair price this morning, but is likely to drift if anything given his profile is a lot less "sexy" than that of his main rival. Sue Smith has her horses in better form than the figures indicate, with a winner and three seconds yesterday suggesting that the team at Bingley are coming to the boil at the right time.
Nicky Richards may not be without cheer on his local track, even if Eduard fails to land the odds, as he has an improving handicapper on his hands in the shape of Tutchec, and the son of Turgeon can complete a hat-trick of course wins this season when contesting the 13:55. Both successes this term have come over much shorter trips, but he's given the impression that stamina is his forte, and he should have the legs of his main rivals in the early stages, particularly as his once sloppy jumping now seems a thing of the past. Harouet and Herdsman are interesting, but the pair both appeared to be in trouble before snatching victory from the jaws of defeat on their most recent outings, and are not obvious candidates to follow up on that basis. The former represents a yard which traditionally goes into hibernation in the winter months, while the latter is more interesting now tackling an extreme trip at a stiffer track, but given he hit the ceiling price on Betfair last time, he's again likely to trade much bigger in the run. Should Tutchec be clear in the straight with the otehrs toiling, it may be worth trading a little back at skinny odds, but he's an attractive enough proposition at morning prices in any case.
Recommendations:
Both at Carlisle
Back Mwaleshi @ [4.5] in the 12:50 (NAP)
Back Tutchec @ [4.8] in the 13:55 (NB)
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