Wednesday 4 March 2015

Repeat Guest Should Be Entertained

6.45 Kempton - 32Red com Handicap ( 1m2f) 

I'm keen to take on the quirky Tryster in this handicap despite the Godolphin runner having won his last two. He was the winner on merit at Chelmsford on his return, but swerved badly across Gaelic Silver there, and plenty believed that the runner-up should have been awarded the race. It's interesting given that view that Tryster is odds-on today, whereas Gaelic Silver is no less than 9 lbs better off, yet available to back at 16/1 in a place. The winner seemed to improve when scoring again at Wolverhampton, but he had the race set up for him with the front pair getting involved in a speed battle from the halfway point. The leaders tired noticeably in the final furlong, and I believe that the visual ease of Tryster's victory was potentially misleading. That said, he's clearly improving at the right time, and may will bring up the hat-trick, but I see no value in his current odds.

It's harder to make a case for Rebellious Guest, but he shaped a fair bit better than the bare result at Lingfield last time (Beach Bar second), and has been gradually easing in the weights on the back of a barren run. His form last spring would give him an excellent chance, and he won this corresponding event from a slightly higher mark a year ago. He's not easy to catch right, but keeps hinting that the old ability is still all there, and it's merely a matter of time before he clicks. The booking of Jamie Spencer is a positive for a horse who needs finessing.

Recommended:

1pt win Rebellious Guest @ 7/1 (general)

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